The Local Authority (LA) produces forecasts of pupil numbers each year in order to plan the number of school places needed. If you are looking for general population forecasts please see the pages compiled by the Research and Marketing Unit.
Known Pre-School Children
Each year the Health Authority provides the LA with data on pre-school children known to be registered in Worcestershire. In previous years this data has been based on children registered with Worcestershire GPs, however from 2016 records will consist of all children registered at a Worcestershire address. This data helps the LA to anticipate rises and falls in the number of children starting school and to plan the number of school places.
First and primary schools receive information on the children living in their catchment area each autumn via the Edulink system. A snapshot of the number of children living in each catchment area is available below. Please read the notes provided to help you understand the data.
The forecasts apply historical transition patterns of take-up of school places to current number on roll data and information on live births provided by the Health Authority to forecast the number of children anticipated to attend Worcestershire Schools for the next several years. Forecasts are produced every academic year for the following September intake.
The Worcestershire Countywide Education Forecast Numbers for 2019 includes all children predicted to attend a mainstream state-funded school within Worcestershire, including maintained and academy schools. For information on demand for places at specialist provision see SEND Sufficiency.
Education Planning Area
The LA divides the county into sixteen Education Districts loosely based around the main population centres. An Education District will contain one or more secondary schools and all the designated feeder schools for those schools. Catholic schools are included in the Education District in which they are located.
- Bewdley District Forecast 2019
- Bromsgrove District Forecast 2019
- Droitwich District Forecast 2019
- Evesham District Forecast 2019
- Hagley District Forecast 2019
- Kidderminster District Forecast 2019
- Malvern District Forecast 2019
- Martley District Forecast 2019
- Pershore District Forecast 2019
- Redditch District Forecast 2019
- Rubery District Forecast 2019
- Stourport District Forecast 2019
- Tenbury District Forecast 2019
- Upton District Forecast 2019
- Worcester District Forecast 2019
- Wythall District Forecast 2019
Individual School Forecasts
Schools wishing to receive an individual forecast for their school or discuss pupil numbers should contact the Provision Planning Team on 01905 844119.