Ethnicity Projections

Population projections by Ethnic Group for the County are now available here. These have been produced using the 1991 and 2001 Census results, the mid-year estimates for the years 2001-05, the indicative estimates for 2006-10 which incorporate improved estimates of immigration, and the experimental statistics on population by ethnicity for 2001-09. It should be noted that these projected figures are also consistent with the ONS 2010-based population projections, and therefore do not take into account any policy changes that could have an impact on future population numbers.

Projections by ethnicity for the county can be downloaded below:

• 5-Year Age Groups
• Broad Age Groups 

The population of ethnic minorities is relatively small in Worcestershire. In mid-2009 just over 91% of persons in Worcestershire are classed as White British compared to 83% in the whole of England. The percentage of people from a BME (Black or Minority Ethnic)  background is projected to increase in the future, although the White British group is still projected to make up 78% of Worcestershire's population in 2035.

Each of the different ethnic groups are expected to increase to some extent with the exception of the White British group. Largest increases in terms of numbers are projected in the White Other group, which is projected to increase by around 15,500 persons between 2010 and 2035, and the Pakistani and Indian groups, which are projected to grow by around 14,500 and 12,500 persons respectively.

In 2035, the White Other group is projected to be the largest ethnic minority in Worcestershire, at 4.4% of the population, with the Pakistani group (3.4%) and the Indian group (3.0%) also each projected to make up a relatively high proportion of the residents in the county.